Proving compliance in 2026: A data-led world

Recently featured in IT Supply Chain, TCC Group CEO Joe Norburn explores why 2026 is likely to mark a shift from interpreting regulation to proving compliance. As the FCA increases its focus on outcomes, data and evidence, firms will need to demonstrate that they are consistently delivering good customer outcomes through robust audit trails, comprehensive outcome testing and evidence-led governance.

What happened?

In an article for IT Supply Chain, Joe Norburn outlines five predictions for how regulatory compliance will evolve in 2026. He argues that while political discussions may focus on reducing regulatory burdens, firms should expect greater scrutiny from regulators, more targeted information requests and increased demands for evidence that good customer outcomes are being delivered in practice. The article highlights growing expectations around audit trails, outcome testing, vulnerable customer support, evidence quality and the role of predictive AI in compliance monitoring.

Why does it matter?

The FCA’s supervisory approach is becoming increasingly data-led and outcome-focused, placing greater emphasis on what firms can prove rather than what they intend to achieve. Firms that rely on limited sampling, incomplete records or manual compliance processes may find it harder to demonstrate compliance when challenged. As evidential standards continue to rise, the ability to quickly produce reliable evidence of customer understanding, fair treatment and good outcomes is likely to become a key differentiator between firms that can respond confidently to regulatory scrutiny and those that cannot.

Supporting sources

  1. 2026 predictions evidencing compliance in a data-led regulatory world

Frequently asked questions

What does "evidence readiness" mean for financial services firms?

Evidence readiness means being able to quickly demonstrate, through reliable data, audit trails and customer interaction records, how good customer outcomes are being delivered. Rather than treating compliance as a periodic reporting exercise, firms need to maintain ongoing evidence that can withstand regulatory scrutiny.

Why are firms likely to face greater scrutiny in 2026?
The FCA is continuing to adopt a more data-led and outcome-focused approach to supervision. This means firms may be asked to provide more detailed evidence showing how they monitor customer outcomes, support vulnerable customers and identify potential harm, rather than relying solely on policies and procedures.
What role will AI play in compliance and outcome monitoring?
According to the article, predictive AI is expected to become an increasingly important compliance capability. It can help firms analyse large volumes of customer interactions, identify risk patterns and strengthen audit trails, allowing compliance teams to focus their expertise where it is most needed while improving evidential coverage.

Reviewed by Joe Norburn

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